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World Cup
Liberia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 4pm UK
Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
Malawi national football team
Liberia
0 - 1
Malawi

Kamara (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mphasi (78')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Liberia and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Liberia

Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Malawi

All competitions
Last Game: Malawi 2-2 Guinea
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Liberia 1-1 Malawi

 Currently on a poor run of results, Liberia and Malawi will be looking to find their feet and get their qualifying campaign off to a fine start. However, both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Malawi win with a probability of 66.01%. A draw has a probability of 22.2% and a win for Liberia has a probability of 11.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win is 0-1 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (14.81%) and 0-3 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Liberia win it is 1-0 (5.57%).

Result
LiberiaDrawMalawi
11.78% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04) 22.2% (-0.473 -0.47) 66.01% (0.512 0.51)
Both teams to score 36.88% (0.984 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.9% (1.454 1.45)58.1% (-1.453 -1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.23% (1.13 1.13)78.77% (-1.128 -1.13)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.47% (0.815 0.81)55.53% (-0.815 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.8% (0.473 0.47)88.2% (-0.471 -0.47)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.95% (0.705 0.7)17.06% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.78% (1.231 1.23)47.22% (-1.23 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Liberia 11.78%
    Malawi 66.01%
    Draw 22.2%
LiberiaDrawMalawi
1-0 @ 5.57% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-1 @ 2.9% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 11.78%
1-1 @ 9.85% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.529 -0.53)
2-2 @ 2.56% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.2%
0-1 @ 16.75% (-0.54 -0.54)
0-2 @ 14.81% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-3 @ 8.73% (0.125 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.141 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.14% (0.198 0.2)
0-4 @ 3.86% (0.142 0.14)
1-4 @ 2.27% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.094 0.09)
0-5 @ 1.37% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 66.01%

How you voted: Liberia vs Malawi

Liberia
34.3%
Draw
28.6%
Malawi
37.1%
35
rhs 2.0
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