Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 63.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Altay had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for an Altay win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.