Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Eibar in this match.
