Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
