MX23RW : Sunday, July 17 02:29:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Apr 4, 2022 at 7pm UK at Falmer Stadium
Brighton U23s
5 - 1
Derby U23s
Miller (19', 88'), Spong (40', 60' pen.), Peupion (45')
Leonard (23'), Roberts (69')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Stretton (31')
Thompson (22'), Sibley (22'), Stretton (52')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s and Derby County Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s win with a probability of 55.59%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23sDrawDerby County Under-23s
55.59%20.32%24.09%
Both teams to score 67.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.92%30.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.71%51.28%
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.96%11.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.63%35.36%
Derby County Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52%24.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.08%58.92%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s 55.59%
    Derby County Under-23s 24.09%
    Draw 20.32%
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23sDrawDerby County Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.23%
3-1 @ 6.78%
2-0 @ 6.56%
1-0 @ 5.95%
3-0 @ 4.82%
3-2 @ 4.78%
4-1 @ 3.74%
4-0 @ 2.66%
4-2 @ 2.63%
5-1 @ 1.65%
4-3 @ 1.23%
5-0 @ 1.17%
5-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 55.59%
1-1 @ 8.38%
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 2.7%
3-3 @ 2.24%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 20.32%
1-2 @ 5.9%
0-1 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 3.05%
1-3 @ 2.77%
0-2 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 1.07%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 24.09%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2021 7pm
Derby U23s
0-2
Brighton U23s

Cashin (69'), Thompson (82')
Peupion (66'), Ferguson (70')
Furlong (45+3'), Molumby (45+9'), Moran (61')
Furlong (72')
Apr 16, 2021 7pm
Brighton U23s
3-1
Derby U23s
Cashin (36' og.), Cashman (38'), Jenks (72' pen.)
Turns (28'), Yapi (90+3')
Cresswell (33')
Thompson (59')
Dec 14, 2020 7pm
Feb 28, 2020 12pm
Oct 26, 2019 11.30am

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