Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 Chester FC - National League North - October 6, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK at Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster

1 - 2

Chester

Hemmings (29')
Morgan-Smith (37')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Elliott (23'), Weeks (57')
Lacey (64')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Chester FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Chester FC
36.44%	25.51%	38.06%

Both teams to score 55.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52%

48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.83%

70.17%

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.34%

25.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.44%

60.56%

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.23%

24.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.67%

59.33%

Score Analysis

Kidderminster Harriers 36.44%

Chester FC 38.06%

Draw 25.5%

Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Chester FC
1-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 5.88% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.44%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.35% 2-2 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 8.87% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 6.19% 1-3 @ 3.92% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.06%