Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nashville SC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
47.24% | 25.94% | 26.82% |
Both teams to score 50.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.87% | 53.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.3% | 74.7% |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.51% | 22.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.96% | 56.04% |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.25% | 34.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.51% | 71.48% |
Score Analysis |
Nashville SC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
1-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.13% Total : 47.23% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.81% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.26% 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 64 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 62 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 52 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 46 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Orlando City | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 45 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 45 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 41 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 40 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 64 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 62 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 52 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 46 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Orlando City | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 45 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 45 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 41 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 40 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 27 |