Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shelbourne in this match.
