Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
