Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finn Harps win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finn Harps win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
