Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Independiente and Patronato.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 26.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
