Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Universidad Catolica in this match.
| Result | ||
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
| 46.58% | 23.23% | 30.18% |
| Both teams to score 61.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
