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Apr 18, 2022 at 8pm UK at City Ground
Nott'm Forest
4 - 0
West Brom
Johnson (19' pen.), Yates (23'), Colback (45+2'), Surridge (90+3')
Spence (21'), Yates (60')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Furlong (14'), Gardner-Hickman (39'), Phillips (86')
Furlong (17')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Nottingham Forest 2-1 West Bromwich Albion

Although both clubs appear to be on different trajectories, it is West Brom who enter this contest with momentum. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Forest at the City Ground, even if we feel that this encounter will be decided in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 24.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawWest Bromwich Albion
48.06%27.48%24.46%
Both teams to score 44.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.8%60.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.61%80.39%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82%25.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.09%59.91%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.28%40.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.69%77.31%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 48.06%
    West Bromwich Albion 24.46%
    Draw 27.47%
Nottingham ForestDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 14.14%
2-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 8.76%
3-0 @ 4.48%
3-1 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 48.06%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 24.46%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs West Brom

Nottingham Forest
84.2%
Draw
7.0%
West Bromwich Albion
8.8%
57
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2021 8pm
Aug 3, 2019 5.30pm
Feb 12, 2019 8pm
West Brom
2-2
Nott'm Forest
Murphy (54'), Rodriguez (89' pen.)
Livermore (40'), Dawson (90')
Johansen (6' og.), Yates (65')
Watson (16'), Milosevic (73')
Aug 7, 2018 7.45pm

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