Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Bournemouth |
20.38% | 24.99% | 54.63% |
Both teams to score 46.44% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.95% | 55.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.69% | 76.31% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.14% | 41.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.69% | 78.31% |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.87% | 20.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.61% | 52.4% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Bournemouth |
1-0 @ 7.34% 2-1 @ 5.12% 2-0 @ 3.2% 3-1 @ 1.49% 3-2 @ 1.19% 3-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.12% Total : 20.39% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.7% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 13.5% 0-2 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-3 @ 5.78% 1-3 @ 5.04% 0-4 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.51% Total : 54.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Fulham | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 106 | 43 | 63 | 90 |
P | Bournemouth | 46 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 88 |
3 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 64 | 47 | 17 | 82 |
P | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 73 | 40 | 33 | 80 |
5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 55 | 8 | 75 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 69 |
10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 67 |
11 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 66 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 64 |
13 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 64 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 62 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 61 |
16 | Blackpool | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 60 |
17 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 55 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 68 | -18 | 53 |
19 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 51 |
20 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 50 | 75 | -25 | 47 |
21 | Reading | 46 | 13 | 8 | 25 | 54 | 87 | -33 | 41 |
R | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 43 | 87 | -44 | 37 |
R | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 34 |
R | Barnsley | 46 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 73 | -40 | 30 |
> Full Version |