Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
