Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 49.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Oulu win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Honka in this match.
