Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 76.98%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 8.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.56%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Spezia |
76.98% ( 0.01) | 14.74% ( -0.01) | 8.27% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.94% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.1% ( 0) | 36.9% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.92% ( 0) | 59.08% ( -0.01) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.11% | 7.88% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.09% ( 0.01) | 27.91% ( -0.01) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.95% ( -0.02) | 49.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.01% ( -0.01) | 83.99% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 12.47% 3-0 @ 10.56% 1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.53% 4-0 @ 6.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.7% 6-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.52% Total : 76.97% | 1-1 @ 7% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 14.74% | 0-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 8.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
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