Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.
