Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Lorient |
53.95% | 25.02% | 21.03% |
Both teams to score 47.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.5% | 54.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.14% | 75.86% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.82% | 20.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.52% | 52.48% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.14% | 40.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.57% | 77.43% |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 13.19% 2-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.63% Total : 53.94% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 8.25% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.38% 1-2 @ 5.29% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.26% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.23% Total : 21.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 20 | 35 | 54 |
2 | Marseille | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 49 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 47 |
4 | Lens | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 46 |
5 | Lille | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 41 |
6 | Rennes | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 40 |
7 | Nice | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 37 |
8 | Lorient | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Reims | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 33 |
10 | Lyon | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 32 |
11 | Toulouse | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 32 |
12 | Clermont | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 30 |
13 | NantesNantes | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 28 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 23 |
15 | Brest | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 20 |
16 | Troyes | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 19 |
17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 18 |
18 | Ajaccio | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 18 |
19 | Auxerre | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 47 | -28 | 15 |
20 | Angers | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 48 | -29 | 10 |
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