Home > Football > League One
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Lincoln City | 8 | -3 | 10 |
17 | Port Vale | 8 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | -3 | 8 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Peterborough United | 8 | 5 | 12 |
8 | Shrewsbury Town | 8 | 0 | 12 |
9 | Exeter City | 8 | 4 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
45.25% ( -2.08) | 28.89% ( 0.27) | 25.86% ( 1.81) |
Both teams to score 41.91% ( 0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.13% ( 0.18) | 63.87% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.9% ( 0.13) | 83.09% ( -0.13) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.69% ( -0.99) | 28.31% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.96% ( -1.26) | 64.04% ( 1.26) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.46% ( 1.79) | 41.54% ( -1.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.97% ( 1.53) | 78.03% ( -1.53) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 14.84% ( -0.51) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.6) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.57% Total : 45.25% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.88% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.2% Total : 25.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 61 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 61 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 55 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 53 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 53 |
6 | Barnsley | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 47 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 44 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 44 |
9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 44 |
10 | Portsmouth | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 37 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Port Vale | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
16 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 34 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 29 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 29 |
19 | MK Dons | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 28 |
20 | Burton Albion | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 28 |
21 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 27 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 26 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 26 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 21 |
> Full Version |