Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Thursday, December 29 at 8.30pm in La Liga
We said: Real Oviedo 1-2 Atletico Madrid
Real Oviedo are more than capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Atletico, and we are expecting a close contest on Wednesday. Shocks can happen at this stage of the competition, but Simeone is expected to select a strong side, so Atletico should progress into the last-16 stage of the tournament. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.75%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
18.51% ( -0.35) | 25.26% ( -0.12) | 56.23% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 42.98% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
