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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Norwich logo

Stoke
0 - 3
Norwich


Campbell (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sargent (24'), Sara (28'), Barnes (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Norwich City

Although there is a wide margin between these two sides in the table, Stoke's win last weekend goes some way to levelling the playing field. With that in mind, do not be surprised if a competitive low-scoring draw is played out, one that suits Stoke more than Norwich. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
44.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.26% (0.0010000000000012 0) 30.3% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)48.44% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)70.57% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22% (0.0040000000000049 0)21.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.01% (0.0040000000000049 0)54.99% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)65.76% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.44%
    Norwich City 30.3%
    Draw 25.26%
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.44%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.86%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.3%

How you voted: Stoke vs Norwich

Stoke City
28.9%
Draw
26.3%
Norwich City
44.7%
38
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Norwich
1-0
Stoke
Stacey (44')
Giannoulis (43'), Fassnacht (81')

Leris (20'), Pearson (31')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Norwich
3-1
Stoke
Ramsey (38', 71'), Sara (77')
Powell (90+2')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Norwich
4-1
Stoke
Cantwell (15'), Pukki (44', 80' pen.), Buendia (64')
Powell (61')
Powell (42'), Obi Mikel (43')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
2-3
Norwich
Campbell (70'), Collins (79')
Batth (18'), Fletcher (28')
Buendia (18'), Pukki (27', 57')
Stiepermann (23'), Hanley (58'), Buendia (64')
Buendia (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720

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