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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Norwich logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Norwich

Forss (37'), Latte Lath (43'), Engel (62')
Forss (20')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Barnes (17')
McLean (47')
Sainz (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 Sunderland
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-2 Norwich City

Given the quality of some of Boro's players, they may click back into gear at some stage. Nevertheless, that may still not be enough to outclass this Norwich side, who we expect to battle their way to victory at the Riverside Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawNorwich City
49.08% (-0.192 -0.19) 23.88% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 27.04% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 57.34% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68% (-0.112 -0.11)44.32% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (-0.109 -0.11)66.69% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.83% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)18.17% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.85% (-0.201 -0.2)49.15% (0.201 0.2)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.047999999999988 0.05)29.93% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.058 0.06)66.03% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 49.08%
    Norwich City 27.04%
    Draw 23.87%
MiddlesbroughDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 49.08%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.96% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 27.04%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Norwich

Middlesbrough
24.7%
Draw
16.0%
Norwich City
59.3%
150
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Rowe (90+9')
Sara (76'), Rowe (90+5')
Greenwood (46'), Silvera (90+2')
Hackney (89'), Dieng (90+4')
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
5-1
Norwich
Ramsey (7'), Hackney (41'), Archer (43', 45+6'), Akpom (49')
Sargent (45')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Sargent (7')
McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Norwich
0-0
Middlesbrough
Buendia (41')
Buendia (67')
Saville (73'), Howson (90')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Middlesbrough
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (72' pen.)
Sorensen (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720


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