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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.81%) and 0-1 (6.8%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
26.36% ( -0) | 21.63% ( 0) | 52% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 64.74% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.7% ( -0.01) | 34.29% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.8% ( -0.01) | 56.2% ( 0) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% ( -0) | 25.16% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% ( -0.01) | 59.88% ( 0.01) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.52% ( -0) | 13.48% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.5% ( -0) | 40.5% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 6.47% 1-0 @ 4.68% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.98% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 26.36% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.63% | 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 6.81% 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.28% 0-3 @ 4.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.33% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.15% 0-4 @ 2.28% 2-4 @ 2.17% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.26% 3-4 @ 1% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.07% Total : 52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 70 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 60 |
3 | Stuttgart | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 56 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 50 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 49 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 40 |
7 | Augsburg | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 35 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 33 |
9 | Freiburg | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 30 |
11 | Heidenheim | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 28 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 28 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 25 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 25 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 19 |
17 | FC Koln | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 18 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 65 | -39 | 13 |
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