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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Werder Bremen |
62.66% | 20.32% | 17.02% |
Both teams to score 55.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.45% | 40.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.07% | 62.93% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.63% | 12.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.78% | 38.22% |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.86% | 37.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.07% | 73.93% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 6.92% 4-0 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-0 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.64% Total : 62.66% | 1-1 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 4.92% 0-0 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.32% | 1-2 @ 4.71% 0-1 @ 4.55% 0-2 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.63% 1-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.33% Total : 17.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 43 |
2 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 42 |
3 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 40 |
4 | Freiburg | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 36 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 35 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 30 |
8 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 27 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 26 |
12 | FC Koln | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 23 |
13 | Augsburg | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 21 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 19 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 19 |
16 | Stuttgart | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 16 |
17 | Hertha Berlin | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 14 |
18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 12 |
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