Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
