Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
