Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Nacional.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 55.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
