Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | AC Milan |
26.03% ( -0.49) | 25.57% ( 0.11) | 48.39% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 51.03% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.78% ( -0.77) | 52.22% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.08% ( -0.66) | 73.92% ( 0.66) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.08% ( -0.82) | 34.92% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.34% ( -0.87) | 71.66% ( 0.87) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% ( -0.15) | 21.59% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.32% ( -0.22) | 54.68% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.1% Total : 26.03% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 48.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
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