Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 57.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Salernitana |
57.08% ( -2.01) | 23.38% ( 0.81) | 19.53% ( 1.2) |
Both teams to score 49.82% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.11% ( -1.61) | 49.88% ( 1.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.12% ( -1.46) | 71.88% ( 1.45) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.75% ( -1.27) | 17.25% ( 1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.43% ( -2.28) | 47.56% ( 2.27) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.2% ( 0.41) | 39.79% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.53% ( 0.37) | 76.46% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.3) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.73% Total : 57.08% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.37% | 0-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |