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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Inter logo

Monza
1 - 5
Inter Milan

Pessina (69' pen.)
Colpani (5'), Birindelli (70')
Palladino (6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Calhanoglu (12' pen., 60'), Martinez (14', 84' pen.), Thuram (88')
Calhanoglu (58'), Pavard (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 2-3 Monza
Saturday, January 6 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Monza 0-2 Inter Milan

Inter have scored in 27 consecutive Serie A matches - their last goalless league game incidentally came versus Monza, in April 2023 - and that streak should continue. The Nerazzurri can sign off for their sojourn to Saudi Arabia with another win, putting the pressure on closest challengers Juventus to respond. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawInter Milan
27.04% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 25.15% (0.00099999999999767 0) 47.81% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)49.83% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)71.82% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)32.83% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (-0.106 -0.11)69.39% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)20.86% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.44% (0.023000000000003 0.02)53.56% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Monza 27.04%
    Inter Milan 47.8%
    Draw 25.15%
MonzaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.04%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.41% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.39% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.8%

How you voted: Monza vs Inter Milan

Monza
11.7%
Draw
6.7%
Inter Milan
81.7%
60
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Milan
2-0
Monza
Martinez (8', 76')
Martinez (32')

Caldirola (41')
Apr 15, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Monza
2-2
Inter Milan
Ciurria (11'), Dumfries (90+3' og.)
Darmian (10'), Martinez (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29244171145776
2AC Milan29195555332262
3Juventus29178444232159
4Bologna29159542251754
5Roma29156855352051
6Atalanta BCAtalanta28145951321947
7Napoli29129844331145
8Fiorentina2812794132943
9Lazio29134123633343
10Monza2911993236-442
11Torino29101182826241
12Genoa29810113136-534
13Lecce29610132645-1928
14Udinese29415102844-1627
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2968152639-1326
16CagliariCagliari2968152950-2126
17Empoli2967162243-2125
18FrosinoneFrosinone2966173760-2324
19SassuoloSassuolo2965183356-2323
20Salernitana2928192359-3614


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