Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Atalanta BC |
42.03% ( -2.42) | 26.73% ( 0.24) | 31.24% ( 2.18) |
Both teams to score 50.75% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.89% ( -0.09) | 54.11% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.47% ( -0.08) | 75.53% ( 0.07) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.56% ( -1.26) | 25.44% ( 1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.74% ( -1.75) | 60.26% ( 1.75) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.07% ( 1.54) | 31.93% ( -1.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.62% ( 1.72) | 68.38% ( -1.73) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.54) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.02% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.45) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
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