Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Burnley |
35.67% ( -0.53) | 26.87% ( -0.1) | 37.46% ( 0.63) |
Both teams to score 51.31% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.14% ( 0.38) | 53.86% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.68% ( 0.32) | 75.33% ( -0.31) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.1% ( -0.13) | 28.9% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.22% ( -0.17) | 64.78% ( 0.17) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.17% ( 0.55) | 27.83% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.57% ( 0.7) | 63.43% ( -0.7) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.67% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 10.28% 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 43 |
3 | Aston Villa | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 40 |
6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 32 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
9 | Chelsea | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 29 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
13 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
17 | Everton | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Burnley | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 12 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
> Premier League Full Table |