Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fulham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fulham.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Luton Town |
37.28% ( -0.01) | 26.84% ( -0) | 35.88% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.42% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.27% ( 0.01) | 53.73% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.78% ( 0.01) | 75.22% ( -0.01) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.12% ( 0) | 27.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.51% ( 0) | 63.49% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% ( 0.01) | 28.71% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.46% ( 0.02) | 64.54% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Fulham | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.27% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 43 |
3 | Aston Villa | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 40 |
6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 32 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
9 | Chelsea | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 29 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
13 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
17 | Everton | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Burnley | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 12 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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