Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Burnley |
46.08% ( -0) | 26.42% ( 0) | 27.5% |
Both teams to score 49.67% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.45% ( -0.01) | 54.54% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.1% ( -0) | 75.89% ( 0) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.37% ( -0) | 23.63% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.28% ( -0) | 57.71% ( 0) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.03% ( -0) | 34.96% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.29% ( -0) | 71.7% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.07% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 43 |
3 | Aston Villa | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 40 |
6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 32 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
9 | Chelsea | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 29 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
13 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
17 | Everton | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Burnley | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 12 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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