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Aug 4, 2022 at 3.30am UK at Buck Shaw Stadium
Earthquakes
0 - 1
Inter Miami
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mota (12')
Yedlin (73')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Inter Miami

They each have some outstanding individual talent, although neither have shown the discipline nor organisation to finish off a match when leading, which is why we project a draw for this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 16.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawInter Miami
61.16% (-0.397 -0.4) 21.9% (0.202 0.2) 16.94% (0.192 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.67% (-0.233 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (-0.524 -0.52)47.66% (0.52099999999999 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-0.484 -0.48)69.86% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.91% (-0.30199999999999 -0.3)15.09% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.36% (-0.57 -0.57)43.64% (0.567 0.57)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.49% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)41.51% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22% (-0.061 -0.06)78% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 61.15%
    Inter Miami 16.94%
    Draw 21.89%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 11.84% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.06% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.34% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 61.15%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.89%
0-1 @ 5.51% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.42% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 16.94%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Inter Miami

San Jose Earthquakes
40.0%
Draw
32.0%
Inter Miami
28.0%
25
Head to Head
rhs 2.0
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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia321810468224664
2CF MontrealMontreal32185959491059
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls32148104739850
4New York City FCNY City321471153391449
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati31111285650645
6Orlando City31136124046-645
7Columbus Crew3091474035541
8Atlanta UnitedAtlanta321010124650-440
9Inter MiamiInter Miami30116133850-1239
10New England RevolutionNew England32911124448-438
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC31122173848-1038
12Chicago Fire3298153545-1035
13Toronto3297164961-1234
14DC United3176183262-3027

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia321810468224664
2CF MontrealMontreal32185959491059
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls32148104739850
4New York City FCNY City321471153391449
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati31111285650645
6Orlando City31136124046-645
7Columbus Crew3091474035541
8Atlanta UnitedAtlanta321010124650-440
9Inter MiamiInter Miami30116133850-1239
10New England RevolutionNew England32911124448-438
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC31122173848-1038
12Chicago Fire3298153545-1035
13Toronto3297164961-1234
14DC United3176183262-3027

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