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Major League Soccer
Jul 10, 2022 at 12.30am UK at BMO Field
Toronto
2 - 2
Earthquakes
Kerr (71'), Osorio (75')
Kerr (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ebobisse (26'), Skahan (90+2')
Yueill (90+5')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 0-2 Seattle
Sunday, July 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes

Last Six:
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 4 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

 These two sides have plenty of similarities when it comes to quality in the attacking third, with each allowing their opponents to fire at will in their own penalty area. Home field could be the deciding factor in this one, and because of that we are giving the Reds a slight edge, having won all five of their regular season contests at BMO Field, while the Goonies have yet to win on the road, failing to score on five occasions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
43.91% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 23.55% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 32.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.94% (0.0040000000000049 0)62.05% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57%18.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)49.59%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (0.0039999999999907 0)23.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.76% (0.0049999999999955 0)58.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 43.91%
    San Jose Earthquakes 32.53%
    Draw 23.55%
TorontoDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.03%
1-0 @ 7.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-2 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 43.91%
1-1 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 6.44%
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.55%
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 4.5%
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 32.53%

How you voted: Toronto vs Earthquakes

Toronto
73.1%
Draw
15.4%
San Jose Earthquakes
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Feb 29, 2020 10.30pm
Earthquakes
2-2
Toronto
Rios (53'), Alanis (90')
Thompson (33'), Yueill (70'), Kashia (81')
Pozuelo (40' pen.), Laryea (51')
Altidore (71'), Endoh (90')
May 27, 2019 12.30am
Toronto
1-2
Earthquakes
Laryea (28')
Fraser (61')
Wondolowski (37', 81')
Thompson (33'), Espinoza (64'), Eriksson (69')
Aug 19, 2018 3am
Earthquakes
1-1
Toronto
Wondolowski (77')
Kashia (52')
Janson (59')
Sep 9, 2017 10pm
Toronto
4-0
Earthquakes
Vazquez (26'), Altidore (48', 64'), Osorio (66')

Godoy (43'), Urena (57')
Ceren (72')
Jul 17, 2016 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-1
Toronto
Obina Amarikwa (30'), Dawkins (70')
Alashe (33')
Godoy (42'), Quintero (53')
Morrow (44')
rhs 2.0
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