Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 Nagoya Grampus - J1 League - July 4, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Jul 4, 2020 at 10am UK at IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Kaneko (18')
Kanai (6'), Okui (17'), Valdo (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Soma (32'), Valdo (40' og.)
Soma (65')
Soma (90+6')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shimizu S-Pulse and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Shimizu S-Pulse	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
34.07%	24.99%	40.94%

Both teams to score 57.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.02%

45.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.71%

68.29%

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.92%

26.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.87%

61.13%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.61%

22.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.1%

55.9%

Score Analysis

Shimizu S-Pulse 34.07%

Nagoya Grampus 40.94%

Draw 24.99%

Shimizu S-Pulse	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
2-1 @ 7.89% 1-0 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.32% Total : 34.07%	1-1 @ 11.74% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.99%	1-2 @ 8.79% 0-1 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 6.54% 1-3 @ 4.38% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.95% 1-4 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.94%