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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jul 10, 2022 at 12am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional
3 - 1
Plaza Colonia
Coelho (38'), Trezza (40'), Zabala (83')
Rodriguez (16'), Rochet (32'), Carballo (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Quintana (20' pen.)
Dibble (52'), Fernandez (74'), Quintana (85')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Plaza Colonia.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Union 1-2 Nacional
Tuesday, July 5 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Plaza Colonia

Last Six:
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 3-0 Cerrito
Sunday, June 26 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawPlaza Colonia
59.17% (-0.167 -0.17) 24.75% (0.11 0.11) 16.08% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 40.18% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.49% (-0.278 -0.28)59.5% (0.28 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.14% (-0.213 -0.21)79.86% (0.215 0.22)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (-0.173 -0.17)20.09% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.66% (-0.28 -0.28)52.33% (0.282 0.28)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.28% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)49.71% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.54% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)84.46% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 59.15%
    Plaza Colonia 16.08%
    Draw 24.75%
NacionalDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 16.02% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 12.86%
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.88% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.76% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 59.15%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.99% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.92%
0-2 @ 2.44% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 16.08%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 10.30pm
Nacional
1-0
Plaza Colonia
Zabala (84')
Zunino (43'), Candido (52'), Zabala (85'), Fagundez (90+6')

Heredia (5'), Kidd (45'), Fernandez (80'), Ayala (87')
Oct 3, 2021 7.30pm
Nacional
2-1
Plaza Colonia
Candido (10'), Ramirez (90+1')
Rodriguez (32'), Polenta (50'), D'Alessandro (76'), Bergessio (82')
Lopez (51')
Dibble (45+1'), Olivera (61'), Fernandez (71'), Camargo (73'), Mele (76'), Umeres (81'), Suhr (85'), Leonai (88'), Zeballos (90+5')
Jun 5, 2021 7pm
Plaza Colonia
1-2
Nacional
Dibble (34')
Cruz Mascia (44'), Risso (58'), Leonai (69'), Quintana (70'), Dibble (71')
Leonai (79')
Trezza (46'), Bergessio (73' pen.)
Corujo (45+1'), Garcia (83'), Bergessio (90+3')
Feb 14, 2021 12am
Nacional
1-1
Plaza Colonia
Bergessio (67')
Mendez (14'), Ocampo (32'), Lores (80'), Martinez (86'), Cartagena (90')
Cruz Mascia (68')
Cruz Mascia (43'), Suhr (82'), Fernandez (85')
Aug 23, 2020 7pm
Plaza Colonia
0-0
Nacional

Calleros (38'), Dibble (65')

Rodriguez (20'), Yacob (23'), Laborda (66')
Bergessio (26'), Suarez (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1Boston RiverBoston River32013216
2Defensor SportingDefensor31205235
3La Luz31204315
4PenarolPenarol31204315
5Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado31203215
6FenixFenix31203215
7River PlateRiver Plate31201015
8Montevideo City TorqueTorque31113304
9LiverpoolLiverpool31111104
10NacionalNacional30302203
11DanubioDanubio31022203
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers310225-33
13Racing de MontevideoRacing302112-12
14Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia302101-12
15Cerro Largo302124-22
16CerroCerro301235-21
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor7421115614
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7331106412
3DanubioDanubio732264211
4PenarolPenarol731399010
5Boston RiverBoston River73048719
6River PlateRiver Plate723257-29
7Montevideo City TorqueTorque72238808
8La Luz7115617-114
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol15104125111434
2NacionalNacional1585228111729
3Defensor SportingDefensor1567227141325
4Cerro Largo156721310325
5LiverpoolLiverpool156542419523
6Montevideo WanderersWanderers156541612423
7River PlateRiver Plate155551719-220
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado155551823-520
9La Luz155462327-418
10CerroCerro153751316-316
11Montevideo City TorqueTorque153571524-916
12Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia154471525-1016
13DanubioDanubio153662019115
14Racing de MontevideoRacing153661317-415
15Boston RiverBoston River152671523-812
16FenixFenix153391123-1212
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table
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