Sagan Tosu 3-3 Cerezo Osaka - J1 League - July 24, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Jul 24, 2021 at 11am UK at Tosu Stadium

Sakai (1'), Koyamatsu (8'), Higuchi (45+1')
Iino (51')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Kato (18', 69'), Sakamoto (87' pen.)
Matsuda (65'), Matsuda (90+5')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Cerezo Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.21%) and 1-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
29.66%	28.9%	41.43%

Both teams to score 43.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.61%

62.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.98%

82.02%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.5%

37.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.72%

74.28%

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.32%

29.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.28%

65.72%

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 29.66%

Cerezo Osaka 41.42%

Draw 28.89%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.73% Total : 29.66%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.89%	0-1 @ 13.51% 0-2 @ 8.21% 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-3 @ 3.33% 1-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.01% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.46% Total : 41.42%