Sagan Tosu 3-1 Nagoya Grampus - J1 League - July 17, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Jul 17, 2021 at 11am UK at Tosu Stadium

Nakano (48'), Sakai (51'), Koyamatsu (80')
Nakano (41')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dudu (39' og.)
Inagaki (53')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 43.99%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
26.38%	29.62%	43.99%

Both teams to score 40.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.19%

65.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.55%

84.45%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.8%

42.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.4%

78.6%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.05%

29.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.95%

66.05%

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 26.38%

Nagoya Grampus 43.99%

Draw 29.61%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 5.67% 2-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.35% 3-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.14% Total : 26.38%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 12.63% 2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.42% Total : 29.61%	0-1 @ 15.23% 0-2 @ 9.19% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-3 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.11% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.32% Total : 43.99%