Cerezo Osaka 1-2 Sagan Tosu - J1 League - December 16, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Dec 16, 2020 at 10am UK at Kincho Stadium

Toyokawa (44')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Higuchi (22'), Alves (90+1')
Nakano (24'), Lopez (90')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Sagan Tosu
45.49%	26.66%	27.85%

Both teams to score 49.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.7%

55.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.48%

76.52%

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.76%

24.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.41%

58.59%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.91%

35.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.16%

71.84%

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 45.48%

Sagan Tosu 27.85%

Draw 26.66%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.55% Total : 45.48%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 8.91% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.67% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.1% Total : 27.85%