MX23RW : Friday, March 22 00:34:30| >> :60:409:409:
England national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Brazil national football team

England
vs.
Brazil

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between England and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Saturday's international friendly against Brazil.

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions
Last Game: N. Macedonia 1-1 England
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1England81820
2Italy8714
3Ukraine8314
4North Macedonia8-108
5Malta8-180

Brazil

All competitions
Last Game: Brazil 0-1 Argentina
Wednesday, November 22 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We say: England 3-1 Brazil

 With uncapped players in the double figures and Dorival Junior taking charge of the crop for the first time, Brazil will arrive at Wembley as a relatively unknown quantity, but a patched-up squad on an underwhelming run of form are facing an uphill battle to match their predecessors' results against the Three Lions. England are not without their own fitness doubts too, but the Three Lions have never lost a home friendly under Southgate and should run a new-look an inexperienced Brazil backline ragged to get off to a winning start in 2024. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a England win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw has a probability of 25.1% and a win for Brazil has a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Brazil win it is 0-1 (7.53%).

Result
EnglandDrawBrazil
50.85% (1.246 1.25) 25.12% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 24.03% (-1.172 -1.17)
Both teams to score 50.47% (-0.948 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98% (-0.67 -0.67)52.01% (0.66999999999999 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.25% (-0.582 -0.58)73.75% (0.581 0.58)
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.252 0.25)20.46% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07% (0.399 0.4)52.93% (-0.399 -0.4)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.45% (-1.398 -1.4)36.55% (1.399 1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.66% (-1.435 -1.44)73.33% (1.435 1.44)
Score Analysis
    England 50.84%
    Brazil 24.03%
    Draw 25.12%
EnglandDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 11.86% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.41% (0.389 0.39)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.98% (0.243 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.111 0.11)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 50.84%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.255 -0.26)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 24.03%

Who will win Saturday's friendly clash between England and Brazil?

England
Draw
Brazil
England
75.0%
Draw
14.1%
Brazil
10.9%
64
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2017 8pm
International Friendlies
England
0-0
Brazil
> Match Report
Jun 2, 2013 8pm
International Friendlies
Brazil
2-2
England
> Match Report
Feb 6, 2013 7.30pm
International Friendlies
England
2-1
Brazil
> Match Report
Build-up
Ben White pictured during England training on November 18, 2022
Gareth Southgate reveals Arsenal defender Ben White rejected England call-up
England manager Gareth Southgate confirms that Arsenal defender Ben White made himself unavailable for selection for international friendlies against Brazil and Belgium this month.
Mar 14, 19:04
 Newcastle United's Anthony Gordon acknowledges fans after the match on March 2, 2024
Anthony Gordon "relieved" to receive first England call-up after injury "panic"
Newcastle United winger Anthony Gordon expresses both delight and "relief" for earning his first senior call-up to the England squad and issues a positive update on his knee injury.
Mar 15, 13:51
 Bayern Munich's Harry Kane receives medical attention after sustaining an injury on March 16, 2024
Harry Kane, Bukayo Saka among four players to miss England training
Harry Kane and Bukayo Saka are among four players to miss England training ahead of Friday's international friendly against Brazil.
Mar 20, 13:23
 Manchester United midfielder Kobbie Mainoo on February 1, 2024
How England could line up against Brazil
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Saturday's international friendly against Brazil.
10:50
 Tottenham Hotspur's Richarlison celebrates scoring their third goal on December 31, 2023
How Brazil could line up against England
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Saturday's international friendly against England.
11:00
 England's Jude Bellingham reacts on October 17, 2023
England vs. Brazil combined XI: Who makes the cut alongside Jude Bellingham, Harry Kane?
Ahead of England's clash with Brazil on Saturday, Sports Mole creates a combined XI of players set to represent the two nations this week.
18:27
 Pele wheels away in celebration after scoring in the 1970 World Cup final against Italy
England vs. Brazil all-time combined XI: Who makes the cut alongside Pele, Ronaldo
Ahead of England's clash with Brazil on Saturday, Sports Mole compiles an all-time greatest XI of players to have represented either nation.
20:12
rhs 2.0
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