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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
47.75% | 24.86% | 27.39% |
Both teams to score 54.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.66% | 48.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.52% | 70.48% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.71% | 20.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.35% | 52.65% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.23% | 31.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.8% | 68.19% |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 5% 3-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.77% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.44% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.39% 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.24% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 38 |
3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
5 | Ajax | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 23 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 21 |
9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
12 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
14 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 17 |
15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 16 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Vitesse | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 11 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |