Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Southend United |
38.9% ( -0) | 24.04% | 37.05% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.29% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.91% ( 0.01) | 41.09% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.51% ( 0.01) | 63.48% ( -0) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.75% ( 0) | 21.25% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.84% ( 0) | 54.16% ( 0) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% ( 0.01) | 22.17% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.43% ( 0.01) | 55.57% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Southend United |
2-1 @ 8.51% 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.71% Total : 38.9% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.71% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 |
2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 |
13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
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