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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Middlesbrough |
38.53% ( -0.74) | 25.81% ( 0.16) | 35.65% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 54.8% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.58% ( -0.66) | 49.41% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.54% ( -0.6) | 71.46% ( 0.6) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.84% ( -0.7) | 25.15% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.12% ( -0.97) | 59.87% ( 0.97) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.22% ( 0.02) | 26.77% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.94% ( 0.03) | 62.06% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.53% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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