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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Coventry City |
50.08% ( 0.41) | 24.81% ( 0) | 25.1% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 52.51% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.14% ( -0.36) | 49.85% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.14% ( -0.32) | 71.85% ( 0.31) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.07% ( 0.02) | 19.92% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.94% ( 0.04) | 52.06% ( -0.05) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.57% ( -0.54) | 34.42% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.86% ( -0.58) | 71.13% ( 0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.08% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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