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Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Southampton
2 - 0
Cardiff

Armstrong (11', 15')
Downes (25')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Colwill (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 West Brom
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 2-1 Cardiff City

Bulut will have his side motivated to hit back from their controversial defeat to West Brom earlier this week and we expect them to push Southampton all the way. Nevertheless, the Saints look like a team who can still be a factor in the automatic promotion race and we are backing another home victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawCardiff City
48.29% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 27.25% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (0.064999999999998 0.06)46.75% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (0.059999999999999 0.06)69.01% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (0.025999999999996 0.03)19.43% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.75% (0.045000000000002 0.05)51.25% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (0.041999999999987 0.04)31.04% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (0.048000000000002 0.05)67.36% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 48.29%
    Cardiff City 27.25%
    Draw 24.45%
SouthamptonDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 48.29%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 27.25%

How you voted: Southampton vs Cardiff

Southampton
75.0%
Draw
10.7%
Cardiff City
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Cardiff
0-4
Southampton
Walcott (37'), Djenepo (66'), Adams (73', 84')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Southampton
1-2
Cardiff
Stephens (91')
Ward-Prowse (45'), Redmond (89'), Romeu (90')
Bamba (69'), Zohore (93')
Gunnarsson (61'), Bamba (70'), Zohore (90')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Cardiff
1-0
Southampton
Paterson (74')
Morrison (19'), Bennett (66')

Valery (28'), Romeu (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720

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