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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
36.19% ( 0.05) | 25.79% ( 0.36) | 38.02% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 54.94% ( -1.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.74% ( -1.63) | 49.26% ( 1.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.68% ( -1.48) | 71.31% ( 1.48) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.61% ( -0.73) | 26.39% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.46% ( -0.98) | 61.54% ( 0.98) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.64% ( -0.97) | 25.36% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.85% ( -1.35) | 60.15% ( 1.34) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.19% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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