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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
West Brom logo

Southampton
2 - 1
West Brom

Smallbone (5'), Armstrong (79')
Downes (36'), Martin (37'), Holgate (43'), Alcaraz (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bartley (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 3-1 Hull City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 1-0 West Bromwich Albion

Southampton have shown attacking quality and fighting spirit in equal measure during their current unbeaten run, and the Saints will be confident of extending their streak against a West Brom side who are not always effective on the road. The Baggies are doing a commendable job of chasing down promotion despite the ongoing issues at the club, but we believe that they will leave St Mary's with a loss on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
36.19% (0.054000000000002 0.05) 25.79% (0.363 0.36) 38.02% (-0.422 -0.42)
Both teams to score 54.94% (-1.263 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.74% (-1.625 -1.63)49.26% (1.62 1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68% (-1.482 -1.48)71.31% (1.477 1.48)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (-0.729 -0.73)26.39% (0.726 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (-0.981 -0.98)61.54% (0.976 0.98)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (-0.97 -0.97)25.36% (0.964 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (-1.346 -1.35)60.15% (1.341 1.34)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 36.19%
    West Bromwich Albion 38.02%
    Draw 25.79%
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.401 0.4)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 36.19%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.431 0.43)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.3% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.02%

How you voted: Southampton vs West Brom

Southampton
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
West Bromwich Albion
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 31
West Brom
3-0
Southampton
Pereira (32' pen.), Phillips (35'), Robinson (69')
Oct 4, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 4
Southampton
2-0
West Brom
Djenepo (41'), Romeu (69')
Djenepo (50'), Walker-Peters (53')

Livermore (26')
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Fifth Round
West Brom
1-2
Southampton
Rondon (58')
Krychowiak (30'), McClean (42')
Hoedt (11'), Tadic (56')
Carrillo (45'), Lemina (75')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
West Brom
2-3
Southampton
Hegazi (4'), Rondon (72')
Barry (22'), Phillips (92')
Lemina (40'), Stephens (43'), Ward-Prowse (55')
Bertrand (92')
Oct 21, 2017 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720


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