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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Middlesbrough logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Szmodics (31', 49')
Carter (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Crooks (55')
Lenihan (40'), Hackney (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Middlesbrough

With Carrick having had some prolonged time on the training pitch, he will hope that Boro return to action with more confidence than they entered the international break. Nevertheless, Blackburn appear more capable of winning this fixture, albeit in what should prove to be a competitive game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
35.08% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 25.37% (0.0010000000000012 0) 39.56% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.26% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.71% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)61.31% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)23.75% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.11% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)57.89% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 35.08%
    Middlesbrough 39.56%
    Draw 25.36%
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 35.08%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 39.56%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers
61.8%
Draw
29.4%
Middlesbrough
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Blackburn
1-2
Middlesbrough
Hedges (5')
Forss (46'), McGree (56')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
1-2
Blackburn
Watmore (45+1')
Lenihan (4' og.), Gallagher (17')
Jan 24, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Blackburn
1-0
Middlesbrough
Gallagher (76')
Nyambe (37'), Travis (50'), Wharton (90'), Edun (90+11')

Taylor (4'), Crooks (15'), Connolly (26'), Tavernier (29'), McNair (90+3'), Jones (90+9')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Middlesbrough
1-1
Blackburn
Howson (36')
Olusanya (87')
Morsy (81')
Gallagher (17')
Carter (19'), Travis (87'), Dolan (90+4')
Carter (79')
Jan 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 26
Middlesbrough
0-1
Blackburn

Morsy (57'), Tavernier (81'), Bola (88')
Rothwell (63')
Davenport (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720

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